Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tamara Zidansek v Maria Timofeeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 17:03 UTC

Score final : Tamara Zidansek 0–2 Maria Timofeeva

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tamara Zidansek (Local)

Prévision 35.77%2.80cote équitable
EV +1.94%
Avantage +0.680%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.25%35.61%35.77%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.02%37.04%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Maria Timofeeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.23%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.39%64.23%66.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.471.5371.43%68.32%68.03%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tamara Zidansek (Local) : 35.77% ; Maria Timofeeva (Visiteur) : 64.23%. Pour Tamara Zidansek (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.80. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.94%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV +0.508%E +0.181%K +0.281%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 02:15
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.150%E +0.054%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.86%E -4.73%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.150%E +0.054%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.43%E -6.69%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:05
SportsBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.28%E -0.464%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.86%E -4.73%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -1.28%E -0.464%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:35
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:50
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:24
ReBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -2.00%E -0.728%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.35%E -0.862%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.71%E -0.997%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.01%E -1.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 16:40
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:14
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.86%E -4.73%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.72%E -1.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.72%E -1.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:40
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.29%E -2.88%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:50
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:55
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:40
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:40
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-31 16:55
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-31 16:50
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-31 16:55
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-31 16:25
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.7%2026-08-31 16:55