Language:English
Sloane Stephens v Clara Tauson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sloane Stephens (Local)
Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -0.359%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.160%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.41%30.79%30.65%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.36%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clara Tauson (Visit)
Prediction 69.34%1.44fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -7.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.21%69.35%70.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.361.4075.19%73.07%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sloane Stephens (Local): 30.66%; Clara Tauson (Visit): 69.34%. For Sloane Stephens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -0.359%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.359%E -0.110%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 02:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.359%E -0.110%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -0.666%E -0.205%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 05:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.51%E -0.788%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 05:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -2.81%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.34%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.65%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.65%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 05:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 20:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 03:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 05:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 20:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 14:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 02:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 02:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 05:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -7.10%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -7.10%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -7.41%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 02:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 07:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 02:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 21:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |