Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sloane Stephens v Clara Tauson

Início: 2026-08-31 21:13 UTC

Final: Sloane Stephens 2–0 Clara Tauson

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sloane Stephens (Local)

Previsão 30.66%3.26odd justa
EV -0.359%
Vantagem -0.110%
Kelly -0.160%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.41%30.79%30.65%32.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.36%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Previsão 69.34%1.44odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -7.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.21%69.35%70.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.371.361.4075.19%73.07%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sloane Stephens (Local): 30.66%; Clara Tauson (Visitante): 69.34%. Para Sloane Stephens (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.26. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.25, com valor esperado de -0.359%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.359%E -0.110%K -0.160%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 02:05
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.359%E -0.110%K -0.160%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:00
GTbets🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -0.666%E -0.205%K -0.297%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 11:45
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 05:05
SportsBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.51%E -0.788%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 05:04
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -2.81%E -0.887%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 20:05
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 21:00
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:45
ReBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.34%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.65%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.65%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 02:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 05:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:20
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:05
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 05:00
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:44
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:05
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 00:24
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 03:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 20:54
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 14:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 02:35
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 02:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 11:45
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 05:05
NordicBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -7.10%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:00
Betsson🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -7.10%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:00
DraftKings🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -7.41%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 21:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:50
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:55
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:55
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 02:50
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 07:20
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 02:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 20:40
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:20
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 21:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 20:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-08-31 21:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-08-31 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-08-31 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-08-31 21:00
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-08-31 19:25
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-08-31 21:00
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-08-31 21:00
Novig◎3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%2.5%2026-08-31 21:00