Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng v Yulia Putintseva

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 19:10 UTC

Final: Qinwen Zheng 2–1 Yulia Putintseva

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prediction 68.18%1.47fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%68.06%68.18%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.391.4474.07%71.77%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yulia Putintseva (Visit)

Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%31.94%31.82%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.963.003.1136.36%33.79%33.33%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 68.18%; Yulia Putintseva (Visit): 31.82%. For Yulia Putintseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.11, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.51%E -1.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -2.62%E -0.856%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.51%E -1.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.51%E -1.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:44
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.19%E -2.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.19%E -2.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -9.62%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.87%E -2.75%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.35%E -0.434%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 14:50
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.87%E -2.75%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.26%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 18:55
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.62%E -0.856%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 08:05
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:04
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 14:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 14:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 14:50
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:05
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:05
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.24%E -3.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:54
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.24%E -3.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.24%E -3.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.35%E -0.434%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.60%E -4.82%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.03%E -0.331%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.60%E -4.82%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:55
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.96%E -5.90%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.35%E -0.434%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 19:10
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 19:10
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 19:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-09-03 19:05