Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng v Yulia Putintseva

Inicio: 2026-09-03 19:10 UTC

Final: Qinwen Zheng 2–1 Yulia Putintseva

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Predicción 68.18%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -4.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%68.06%68.18%69.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.391.391.4474.07%71.77%71.94%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yulia Putintseva (Visitante)

Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.331%
Kelly -0.487%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.34%31.94%31.82%34.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.963.003.1136.36%33.79%33.33%32.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 68.18%; Yulia Putintseva (Visitante): 31.82%. Para Yulia Putintseva (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.14. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.11, con un valor esperado de -1.03%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 17:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.83%E -1.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.51%E -1.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -2.62%E -0.856%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.51%E -1.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.51%E -1.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:44
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.19%E -2.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.19%E -2.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -9.62%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.87%E -2.75%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.35%E -0.434%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 14:50
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.87%E -2.75%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.26%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 18:55
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.62%E -0.856%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 08:05
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 19:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:04
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 14:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 14:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 14:50
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:05
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:05
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 19:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.24%E -3.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:54
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.24%E -3.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.24%E -3.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.35%E -0.434%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -3.89%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:20
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -5.48%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.92%E -4.29%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.60%E -4.82%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.03%E -0.331%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.60%E -4.82%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.94%E -0.963%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:55
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.28%E -5.35%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.96%E -5.90%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.35%E -0.434%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 19:10
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 19:10
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-03 19:05
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-09-03 19:05