Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva v Nikola Bartunkova

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Final: Mirra Andreeva 2–0 Nikola Bartunkova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prediction 77.96%1.28fair odd
EV -0.993%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.06%77.93%77.90%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2785.47%82.20%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)

Prediction 22.04%4.54fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.303%
Kelly +0.387%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%22.07%22.10%23.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.284.304.6026.67%23.36%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 77.96%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 22.04%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.39%E +0.303%K +0.387%G +0.005%4.4%2026-09-04 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.39%E +0.303%K +0.387%G +0.005%7.2%2026-09-04 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV +0.731%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV +0.731%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV +0.290%E +0.064%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 06:55
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:33
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 07:36
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:46
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV -2.80%E -0.634%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.47%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.53%EV -2.80%E -0.634%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 06:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.02%E -0.685%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.23%E -6.08%K -38.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.02%E -0.685%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:05
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.36%EV -0.993%E -0.782%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.64%EV -4.34%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 06:55
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:50
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:45
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 06:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:45
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:48
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:41
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:50
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:54
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:45
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:21
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 06:55
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:50
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:50
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:59
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.23%E -6.08%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.14%E -3.93%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -17.34%E -4.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-04 13:45
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-09-04 07:30
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-04 14:10
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05%2.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-09-04 03:45