Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mirra Andreeva v Nikola Bartunkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Score final : Mirra Andreeva 2–0 Nikola Bartunkova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prévision 77.96%1.28cote équitable
EV -0.993%
Avantage -0.782%
Kelly -3.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.06%77.93%77.90%79.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2785.47%82.20%81.97%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.04%4.54cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.303%
Kelly +0.387%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%22.07%22.10%23.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.284.304.6026.67%23.36%23.26%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mirra Andreeva (Local) : 77.96% ; Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur) : 22.04%. Pour Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.54. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.39%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.39%E +0.303%K +0.387%G +0.005%4.4%2026-09-04 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.39%E +0.303%K +0.387%G +0.005%7.2%2026-09-04 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV +0.731%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV +0.731%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV +0.290%E +0.064%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 06:55
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:33
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 07:36
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.812%E -0.180%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:46
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV -2.80%E -0.634%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.47%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.53%EV -2.80%E -0.634%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 06:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.02%E -0.685%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.23%E -6.08%K -38.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.02%E -0.685%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:05
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.36%EV -0.993%E -0.782%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.64%EV -4.34%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 06:55
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:50
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:15
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:45
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 06:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:45
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:48
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:41
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:50
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:54
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:45
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.42%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:21
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.33%E -2.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 06:55
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.67%E -4.69%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:50
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.45%E -5.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:45
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:50
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:59
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.23%E -6.08%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -15.14%E -3.93%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -17.34%E -4.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-04 13:45
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-09-04 07:30
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-04 14:10
ProphetX◎1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05%2.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-09-04 03:45