Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva v Coco Gauff

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 18:05 UTC

Final: Mirra Andreeva 1–2 Coco Gauff

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV -0.293%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.156%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.64%34.52%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.8838.46%36.31%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.36%65.48%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.73%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 34.62%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 65.38%. For Mirra Andreeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -0.293%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.293%E -0.102%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:11
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.293%E -0.102%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:11
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.985%E -0.345%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:11
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Bovada🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -2.02%E -0.715%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.58%E -1.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 14:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:30
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.16%E -5.04%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 10:49
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:11
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.58%E -1.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:55
ReBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.58%E -1.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:30
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 14:46
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:46
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:41
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 13:25
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.14%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:54
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -5.49%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.83%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.83%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:41
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:41
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 14:41
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 14:39
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:46
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:46
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:41
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:35
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 09:14
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-09 16:51
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-09 17:41
ProphetX◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-09 17:35