Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-09-09 18:05 UTC

Final: Mirra Andreeva 1–2 Coco Gauff

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Predicción 34.62%2.89momio equitativo
EV -0.293%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.156%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.18%34.64%34.52%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.752.8838.46%36.31%36.36%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 65.38%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.36%65.48%66.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.73%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 34.62%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 65.38%. Para Mirra Andreeva (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.89. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.88, con un valor esperado de -0.293%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.293%E -0.102%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 17:11
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.293%E -0.102%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:11
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.985%E -0.345%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:11
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.68%E -0.591%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Bovada🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -2.02%E -0.715%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.58%E -1.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 14:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:30
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.16%E -5.04%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 10:49
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:11
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.58%E -1.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:55
ReBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.58%E -1.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:30
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 14:46
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:46
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:41
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 13:25
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.14%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:54
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -5.49%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.83%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -5.83%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:41
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:41
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 14:41
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 14:39
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:46
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:46
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:41
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:35
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 09:14
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-09 16:51
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-09 17:41
ProphetX◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-09 17:35