Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva v Anastasia Potapova

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 15:04 UTC

Final: Mirra Andreeva 2–1 Anastasia Potapova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prediction 83.46%1.20fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -19.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%83.46%83.45%84.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.50%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visit)

Prediction 16.54%6.05fair odd
EV +5.50%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 6.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.18%16.54%16.55%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.615.506.3820.00%17.83%18.18%15.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 83.46%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 16.54%. For Anastasia Potapova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.05. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.73%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.27%EV +5.50%E +0.862%K +1.02%G +0.056%2.6%2026-09-07 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV +2.52%E +0.407%K +0.485%G +0.012%3.1%2026-09-07 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV +2.52%E +0.407%K +0.485%G +0.012%3.1%2026-09-07 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.36%E -6.63%K -66.87%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +2.52%E +0.407%K +0.485%G +0.012%6.2%2026-09-07 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +0.871%E +0.143%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-07 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.044%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.08%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.92%EV -0.452%E -0.075%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.18%E -2.74%K -19.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-07 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.52%E -5.82%K -54.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.52%E -5.82%K -54.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -2.44%E -0.413%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.09%E -0.705%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:25
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.09%E -0.705%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.92%E -0.855%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 14:25
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.92%E -0.855%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -5.74%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.74%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 14:24
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -6.74%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:35
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -8.22%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 14:56
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 14:45
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -3.18%E -2.74%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -8.72%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 06:36
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 08:00
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:50
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:39
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:30
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.52%E -5.82%K -54.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.88%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -9.88%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 14:20
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -9.88%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.70%E -1.98%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 14:30
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.70%E -1.98%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -12.36%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 08:00
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.32%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.32%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:49
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.32%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 04:57
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-09-07 14:55
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-09-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-07 14:50
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-09-07 14:55
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.6%2026-09-07 14:41
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-09-07 14:56