Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva v Anastasia Potapova

Inicio: 2026-09-07 15:04 UTC

Final: Mirra Andreeva 2–1 Anastasia Potapova

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Predicción 83.46%1.20momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -19.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.30%83.46%83.45%84.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.50%87.72%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Predicción 16.54%6.05momio equitativo
EV +5.50%
Ventaja +0.862%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.056%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.18%16.54%16.55%18.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.615.506.3820.00%17.83%18.18%15.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 83.46%; Anastasia Potapova (Visitante): 16.54%. Para Anastasia Potapova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.05. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.50%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.73%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.27%EV +5.50%E +0.862%K +1.02%G +0.056%2.6%2026-09-07 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV +2.52%E +0.407%K +0.485%G +0.012%3.1%2026-09-07 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV +2.52%E +0.407%K +0.485%G +0.012%3.1%2026-09-07 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.36%E -6.63%K -66.87%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +2.52%E +0.407%K +0.485%G +0.012%6.2%2026-09-07 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +0.871%E +0.143%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-07 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.044%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.08%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.92%EV -0.452%E -0.075%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.18%E -2.74%K -19.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-07 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.52%E -5.82%K -54.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.783%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.52%E -5.82%K -54.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -2.44%E -0.413%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.09%E -0.705%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:25
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.09%E -0.705%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.92%E -0.855%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 14:25
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.92%E -0.855%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -5.74%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.74%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 14:24
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -6.74%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:35
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -8.22%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 14:56
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 14:45
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -3.18%E -2.74%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -8.72%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 06:36
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 08:00
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:50
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:39
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:40
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:30
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -5.03%K -43.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.52%E -5.82%K -54.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.05%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.88%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -9.88%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 14:20
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -9.88%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.70%E -1.98%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 14:30
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.70%E -1.98%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -12.36%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 08:00
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.32%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.02%E -3.49%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.32%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:49
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.85%E -4.26%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.32%E -3.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 04:57
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-09-07 14:55
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-09-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-07 14:50
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-09-07 14:55
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.6%2026-09-07 14:41
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-09-07 14:56