Language:English
Mary Stoiana v Alexandra Eala
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mary Stoiana (Local)
Prediction 20.62%4.85fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +0.503%
Kelly +0.629%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 4.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.51%20.92%20.51%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.494.504.9725.00%22.26%22.22%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexandra Eala (Visit)
Prediction 79.38%1.26fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%79.08%79.49%80.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.99%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mary Stoiana (Local): 20.62%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 79.38%. For Mary Stoiana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.85. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.58%EV +2.50%E +0.503%K +0.629%G +0.016% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.42%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +2.09%E +0.422%K +0.528%G +0.011% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +2.09%E +0.422%K +0.528%G +0.011% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -1.01%E -0.210%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.01%E -0.210%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 01:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 01:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 01:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.13%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.13%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.13%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.16%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 00:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -8.23%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV -8.43%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -1.57%E -1.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 01:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.26%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.26%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.26%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.70%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -11.32%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -15.44%E -3.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.57%E -1.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.57%E -1.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |