Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mary Stoiana v Alexandra Eala

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 01:49 UTC

Score final : Mary Stoiana 0–2 Alexandra Eala

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mary Stoiana (Local)

Prévision 20.62%4.85cote équitable
EV +2.50%
Avantage +0.503%
Kelly +0.629%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.51%20.92%20.51%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.494.504.9725.00%22.26%22.22%20.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexandra Eala (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.38%1.26cote équitable
EV -0.779%
Avantage -0.624%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%79.08%79.49%80.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.99%83.33%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mary Stoiana (Local) : 20.62% ; Alexandra Eala (Visiteur) : 79.38%. Pour Mary Stoiana (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.85. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.97, soit une espérance positive de +2.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯4.97I 20.12%NM 19.58%EV +2.50%E +0.503%K +0.629%G +0.016%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.42%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +2.09%E +0.422%K +0.528%G +0.011%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +2.09%E +0.422%K +0.528%G +0.011%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -1.01%E -0.210%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 01:25
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.01%E -0.210%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 01:25
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 01:21
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 00:55
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:10
TAB🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.04%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:21
1xBet🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 01:30
ReBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 01:25
Fanatics🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 01:23
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 01:25
Bet Right🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.07%E -0.653%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:30
FanDuel🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 01:25
theScore Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 01:25
BetAnything🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -4.10%E -0.882%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.13%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.13%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 01:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.13%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.34%E -5.37%K -35.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 01:25
DraftKings🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.16%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:20
Betsson🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 01:25
NordicBet🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 01:25
MyBookie.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 00:35
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 00:55
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:20
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:30
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:10
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:10
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.19%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 01:30
LeoVegas🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -8.23%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:25
GTbets🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV -8.43%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -1.57%E -1.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.26%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 01:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.26%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.26%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 01:30
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.70%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:55
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -11.32%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 01:30
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -15.44%E -3.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:20
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 19:25
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.779%E -0.624%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.57%E -1.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:20
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.57%E -1.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:20
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:20
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.51%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.16%E -2.59%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-09-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-09-02 01:25
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-09-02 01:30
ProphetX◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-09-02 01:30
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-09-02 01:25
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%2.6%2026-09-02 01:30