Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marta Kostyuk v Storm Hunter

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 18:19 UTC

Final: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Storm Hunter

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prediction 87.36%1.14fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -9.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%87.40%87.41%88.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.78%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Storm Hunter (Visit)

Prediction 12.64%7.91fair odd
EV +7.43%
Edge +0.874%
Kelly +0.991%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.09%12.60%12.59%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.327.038.5015.38%13.67%14.22%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 87.36%; Storm Hunter (Visit): 12.64%. For Storm Hunter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.91. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.991%G +0.074%4.4%2026-08-30 08:55
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.52%E -6.10%K -93.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.991%G +0.074%5.2%2026-08-30 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.40%E -6.98%K -123.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.991%G +0.074%6.1%2026-08-30 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +6.17%E +0.734%K +0.833%G +0.051%4.5%2026-08-30 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +4.27%E +0.518%K +0.589%G +0.025%3.0%2026-08-30 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +1.11%E +0.139%K +0.159%G +0.002%3.4%2026-08-30 08:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.11%E +0.139%K +0.159%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-30 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.11%E +0.139%K +0.159%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-30 14:30
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.52%E -6.10%K -93.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.11%E +0.139%K +0.159%G +0.002%6.0%2026-08-30 18:15
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.40%E -6.98%K -123.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.11%E +0.139%K +0.159%G +0.002%6.8%2026-08-30 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.40%E -6.98%K -123.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.11%E +0.139%K +0.159%G +0.002%6.8%2026-08-30 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.40%E -6.98%K -123.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.11%E +0.139%K +0.159%G +0.002%6.8%2026-08-30 18:15
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV -0.153%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.25%EV -0.406%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV -0.532%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV -0.532%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 09:05
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -2.05%E -0.264%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -2.05%E -0.264%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 11:05
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -3.94%E -0.519%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.41%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.59%EV -4.32%E -0.571%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 09:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.21%E -0.694%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:41
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.21%E -0.694%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 11:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.21%E -0.694%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.21%E -0.694%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.21%E -0.694%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -7.74%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -7.74%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.52%E -6.10%K -93.19%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -8.37%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -6.52%E -6.10%K -93.19%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -9.00%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:35
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.32%EV -1.28%E -1.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.68%EV -9.88%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 10:05
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 18:10
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:54
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:35
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:35
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:35
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 08:55
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.90%E -3.55%K -39.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.78%E -4.38%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.65%E -5.23%K -70.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 18:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-30 18:15
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-08-30 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-08-30 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-08-30 18:15
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 89.90%9.70I 10.31%NM 10.10%2.1%2026-08-30 18:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%3.5%2026-08-30 17:40