Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Storm Hunter

2026-08-30 16:40 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 86.65%1.15momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -16.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.19%86.60%86.53%87.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.101.101.1393.46%90.72%90.91%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Storm Hunter (Visitante)

Predicción 13.35%7.49momio equitativo
EV +7.48%
Ventaja +0.929%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.079%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.09%13.40%13.47%15.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.746.968.0517.54%14.84%14.37%12.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 86.65%; Storm Hunter (Visitante): 13.35%. Para Storm Hunter (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.49. 9 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.05, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.48%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -3.82%E -3.44%K -34.73%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +7.48%E +0.929%K +1.06%G +0.079%2.5%2026-08-29 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +6.81%E +0.852%K +0.973%G +0.066%3.4%2026-08-29 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.82%E -3.44%K -34.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +3.47%E +0.448%K +0.515%G +0.018%3.0%2026-08-29 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +3.47%E +0.448%K +0.515%G +0.018%3.8%2026-08-29 08:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +1.47%E +0.194%K +0.223%G +0.003%4.1%2026-08-29 09:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +1.47%E +0.194%K +0.223%G +0.003%4.1%2026-08-29 09:35
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.27%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.54I 13.26%NM 12.73%EV +0.670%E +0.089%K +0.103%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.136%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.136%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -2.53%E -0.347%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:04
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.32%EV -2.09%E -1.85%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.68%EV -4.80%E -0.674%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 10:05
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -5.20%E -0.733%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:55
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.82%E -3.44%K -34.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 08:00
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:35
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:30
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:40
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:35
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:35
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:35
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 08:04
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.54%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 10:05
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.07%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:04
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.54%EV -7.07%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -9.21%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 08:01
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.88%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -7.29%E -6.81%K -104.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -9.88%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -4.69%E -4.26%K -46.87%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -11.88%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 08:35
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.22%E -2.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 07:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.82%E -3.44%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.22%E -2.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.22%E -2.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.82%E -3.44%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.55%E -2.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:09
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:15
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -5.55%E -5.09%K -61.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -18.56%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.95%E -2.64%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -19.89%E -3.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 06:15
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.82%E -3.44%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.89%E -3.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 08:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.82%E -3.44%K -34.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.89%E -3.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 06:10
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -6.42%E -5.94%K -80.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -21.23%E -3.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.19%EV -7.29%E -6.81%K -104.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.81%EV -23.90%E -4.19%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 10:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 88.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 11.14%-1.3%2026-08-29 10:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-29 09:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-29 09:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-29 08:35
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-29 09:15
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-08-29 08:50
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%3.4%2026-08-29 09:01
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%3.7%2026-08-29 09:55