Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Sakkari v Robin Montgomery

Inizio: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Finale: Maria Sakkari 2–1 Robin Montgomery

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Sakkari (Casa)

Previsione 59.11%1.69quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -2.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%59.16%59.06%60.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.601.601.6664.52%62.61%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Robin Montgomery (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.89%2.45quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.781%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.55%40.84%40.94%42.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.342.352.4044.84%42.77%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Maria Sakkari (Casa): 59.11%; Robin Montgomery (Trasferta): 40.89%. Per Maria Sakkari (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.69. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.66, con un valore atteso del -1.87%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.87%E -1.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.46%E -1.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.46%E -1.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 15:11
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.46%E -1.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 15:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.46%E -1.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 12:39
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.46%E -1.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.05%E -1.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.64%E -2.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.87%E -0.781%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.64%E -2.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.64%E -2.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.24%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.24%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.74%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.24%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:10
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.24%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.24%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.24%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 09:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.87%E -0.781%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.51%E -1.49%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 09:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 14:50
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:31
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 08:00
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 08:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.83%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:10
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.42%E -3.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.87%E -0.781%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.42%E -3.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.42%E -3.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.42%E -3.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.42%E -3.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.42%E -3.39%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 10:40
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.78%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 16:20
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.01%E -3.78%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 14:47
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.60%E -4.18%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.87%E -0.781%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.60%E -4.18%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.60%E -4.18%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 09:30
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.60%E -4.18%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.60%E -4.18%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.87%E -0.781%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -2.28%E -0.955%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:30
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 09:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.96%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 09:29
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.78%E -4.99%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.78%E -4.99%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.82%E -3.96%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 15:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.37%E -5.40%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 11:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-01 18:10
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-09-01 18:20
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-01 17:40
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-09-01 18:30