Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari v Robin Montgomery

2026-08-31 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Predicción 56.40%1.77momio equitativo
EV +2.09%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +2.58%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.74%56.58%56.36%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.681.8162.50%59.98%59.52%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Robin Montgomery (Visitante)

Predicción 43.60%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.273%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.210%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.18%43.42%43.64%47.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.172.3050.00%46.13%46.08%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Maria Sakkari (Local): 56.40%; Robin Montgomery (Visitante): 43.60%. Para Maria Sakkari (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.77. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.81, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.09%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +2.09%E +1.15%K +2.58%G +0.054%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -11.93%E -5.91%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 06:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.166%E -0.094%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 10:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 09:45
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 09:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 09:35
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-29 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:34
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 09:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:35
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -8.01%E -3.80%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 09:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001%4.1%2026-08-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 09:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.91%E -0.848%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.91%E -0.848%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:00
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.06%E -4.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.63%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 09:40
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.63%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 09:40
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.19%E -5.71%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.6%2026-08-29 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.91%E -0.848%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 10:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.81%E -6.40%K -12.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 57.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.93%-2.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-29 10:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%8.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%8.8%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%9.2%2026-08-29 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%9.2%2026-08-29 09:35
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%12.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Arbitraje (11 combinaciones) +1.29%GTbets 1.81 (56.0%) / DraftKings 2.30 (44.0%)Ver las 11 combinaciones
Maria Sakkari (Local)Robin Montgomery (Visitante)Margen
GTbets🎯 1.81 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 2.30 (44.0%)+1.29%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (56.0%)Betway🎯 2.30 (44.0%)+1.29%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (56.0%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (44.0%)+1.29%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (55.4%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (55.4%)Neds🎯 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (55.4%)Betr (AU)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%
Bovada🎯 1.77 (56.5%)Coolbet🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Bovada🎯 1.77 (56.5%)Betway🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Bovada🎯 1.77 (56.5%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%