Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Sakkari v Robin Montgomery

2026-08-31 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Prévision 56.40%1.77cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +2.58%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.74%56.58%56.36%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.681.8162.50%59.98%59.52%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Robin Montgomery (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.60%2.29cote équitable
EV +0.273%
Avantage +0.119%
Kelly +0.210%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%43.42%43.64%47.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.172.3050.00%46.13%46.08%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Maria Sakkari (Local) : 56.40% ; Robin Montgomery (Visiteur) : 43.60%. Pour Maria Sakkari (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.77. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.81, pour une espérance positive de +2.09%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +2.09%E +1.15%K +2.58%G +0.054%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -11.93%E -5.91%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 06:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.166%E -0.094%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 10:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 09:45
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 09:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 09:35
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-29 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:34
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 09:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:35
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -8.01%E -3.80%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 09:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001%4.1%2026-08-29 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 09:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.91%E -0.848%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.91%E -0.848%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:00
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.06%E -4.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.63%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 09:40
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.63%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 09:40
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.19%E -5.71%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.6%2026-08-29 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.91%E -0.848%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 10:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.81%E -6.40%K -12.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 57.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.93%-2.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-29 10:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%8.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%8.8%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%9.2%2026-08-29 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%9.2%2026-08-29 09:35
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%12.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Arbitrage (11 combinaisons) +1.29%GTbets 1.81 (56.0%) / DraftKings 2.30 (44.0%)Afficher les 11 combinaisons
Maria Sakkari (Local)Robin Montgomery (Visiteur)Marge
GTbets🎯 1.81 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 2.30 (44.0%)+1.29%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (56.0%)Betway🎯 2.30 (44.0%)+1.29%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (56.0%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (44.0%)+1.29%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (55.4%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (55.4%)Neds🎯 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%
GTbets🎯 1.81 (55.4%)Betr (AU)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%
Bovada🎯 1.77 (56.5%)Coolbet🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Bovada🎯 1.77 (56.5%)Betway🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Bovada🎯 1.77 (56.5%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%