Language:English
Mananchaya Sawangkaew v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local)
Prediction 29.84%3.35fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.804%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%29.88%29.82%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.133.103.2933.33%31.93%32.26%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 70.16%1.43fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.12%70.18%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.3976.92%73.53%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local): 29.84%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 70.16%. For Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.29, with an expected value of -1.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -1.84%E -0.559%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.47%E -1.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 06:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -3.63%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.93%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.79%E -6.76%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.12%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -5.72%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 02:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -5.72%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 09:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 05:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |