Idioma:Español
Mananchaya Sawangkaew v Leylah Fernandez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local)
Predicción 29.84%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -0.804%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.89%29.88%29.82%31.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.133.103.2933.33%31.93%32.26%30.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)
Predicción 70.16%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -6.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.12%70.18%71.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.3976.92%73.53%73.53%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local): 29.84%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 70.16%. Para Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.35. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.29, con un valor esperado de -1.84%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -1.84%E -0.559%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.47%E -1.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.03%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 06:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -3.63%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.93%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.88%E -2.83%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.53%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.79%E -6.76%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.12%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -5.72%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 02:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -5.72%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 09:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.28%E -3.91%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 05:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.17%E -2.30%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |