Language:English
Katie Boulter v Karolina Muchova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katie Boulter (Local)
Prediction 15.42%6.48fair odd
EV +6.43%
Edge +0.932%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 6.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.97%15.64%15.69%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.965.946.9020.00%16.79%16.84%14.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karolina Muchova (Visit)
Prediction 84.58%1.18fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%84.36%84.31%86.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.54%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 15.42%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 84.58%. For Katie Boulter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.48. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +6.43%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.070% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.87I 14.56%NM 14.12%EV +5.97%E +0.868%K +1.02%G +0.061% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.88%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +4.11%E +0.610%K +0.716%G +0.029% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.80%E +0.273%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 19:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.28%E -0.201%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.28%E -0.201%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.83%E -0.449%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.97%E -6.33%K -69.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.60%E -0.576%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -4.06%E -0.653%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -4.06%E -0.653%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -4.37%E -0.705%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -2.74%E -2.38%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -4.37%E -0.705%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -2.74%E -2.38%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.52%EV -5.14%E -0.836%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.48%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.68%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 19:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.68%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 06:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -8.38%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.00%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.00%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.62%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.62%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 06:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.88%E -4.58%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.05%E -0.894%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -22.88%E -4.58%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 05:37 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 19:16 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 19:20 |