Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katie Boulter v Karolina Muchova

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prévision 19.69%5.08cote équitable
EV +8.31%
Avantage +1.51%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.153%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%19.60%19.82%21.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.764.705.5023.81%20.99%21.28%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.31%1.25cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -3.03%
Kelly -18.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.50%80.40%80.18%82.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.90%84.75%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Katie Boulter (Local) : 19.69% ; Karolina Muchova (Visiteur) : 80.31%. Pour Katie Boulter (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.08. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.50, pour une espérance positive de +8.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.31%E +1.51%K +1.85%G +0.153%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 04:30
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +3.38%E +0.645%K +0.796%G +0.027%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 01:44
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +2.40%E +0.461%K +0.571%G +0.014%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:45
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.430%E +0.084%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 22:45
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:35
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:43
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 22:45
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:35
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 01:35
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 01:35
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:40
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.49%E -0.926%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 04:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.49%E -0.926%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 02:55
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 01:40
GTbets🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -7.84%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:45
DraftKings🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.48%EV -9.02%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.52%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 19:11
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:45
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.43%E -3.73%K -23.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 19:05
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 01:40
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.35%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 22:45
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.35%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:00
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -15.32%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -17.29%E -4.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -17.29%E -4.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-09-01 00:50
ProphetX5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%2.6%2026-09-01 05:15
Novig4.76I 21.01%NM 19.19%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.81%9.5%2026-09-01 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-08-31 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-08-31 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-08-31 22:00
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%10.6%2026-08-31 22:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%11.0%2026-09-01 00:20