Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katie Boulter v Karolina Muchova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 19:26 UTC

Score final : Katie Boulter 0–2 Karolina Muchova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prévision 15.42%6.48cote équitable
EV +6.43%
Avantage +0.932%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 6.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.97%15.64%15.69%18.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.965.946.9020.00%16.79%16.84%14.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)

Prévision 84.58%1.18cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.894%
Kelly -6.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.04%84.36%84.31%86.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.54%88.50%85.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Katie Boulter (Local) : 15.42% ; Karolina Muchova (Visiteur) : 84.58%. Pour Katie Boulter (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.48. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.90, soit une espérance positive de +6.43%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +6.43%E +0.932%K +1.09%G +0.070%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 17:55
Pinnacle🎯6.87I 14.56%NM 14.12%EV +5.97%E +0.868%K +1.02%G +0.061%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.88%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +4.11%E +0.610%K +0.716%G +0.029%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 17:55
ReBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.80%E +0.273%K +0.322%G +0.006%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 17:55
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:50
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 19:18
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:55
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.259%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.28%E -0.201%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 14:46
DraftKings🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.28%E -0.201%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -2.83%E -0.449%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.97%E -6.33%K -69.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:55
BetAnything🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.60%E -0.576%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 19:16
Betsson🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -4.06%E -0.653%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 17:55
NordicBet🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -4.06%E -0.653%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -4.37%E -0.705%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -2.74%E -2.38%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -4.37%E -0.705%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%EV -2.74%E -2.38%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 15:20
GTbets🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.52%EV -5.14%E -0.836%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.48%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:55
1xBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -6.68%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 19:16
SportsBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -6.68%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 19:05
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 06:14
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 19:20
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:05
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:35
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:25
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:05
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:55
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 12:35
BetUS🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -8.38%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.00%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 19:20
Fliff🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.00%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:59
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 12:40
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 14:40
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 14:40
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.62%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.62%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 17:00
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 06:15
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 09:05
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 17:35
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.28%E -4.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 06:10
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.88%E -4.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.05%E -0.894%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 11:30
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -22.88%E -4.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 05:37
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-09-02 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-09-02 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-09-02 19:20
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-09-02 19:20
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-09-02 19:16
ProphetX◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%1.6%2026-09-02 19:20
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-09-02 19:15
Novig◎6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%2.2%2026-09-02 19:20