Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harriet Dart (Local): 30.58%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 69.42%. For Harriet Dart (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.910%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.910%E +0.276%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.910%E +0.276%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.98%E -5.21%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 07:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -0.313%E -0.096%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -8.36%E -6.34%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 05:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -1.54%E -0.477%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 06:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 05:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -2.45%E -0.769%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.45%E -0.769%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 05:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 08:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 05:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 05:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.90%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.90%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 05:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 05:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.98%E -5.21%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 05:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -3.50%E -2.52%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 05:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 10:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 14:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |