Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Harriet Dart v Peyton Stearns

Início: 2026-08-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Harriet Dart 2–1 Peyton Stearns

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Harriet Dart (Local)

Previsão 30.58%3.27odd justa
EV +0.910%
Vantagem +0.276%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.82%30.67%30.49%32.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.083.093.3034.48%32.49%32.36%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Peyton Stearns (Visitante)

Previsão 69.42%1.44odd justa
EV -2.81%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -7.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.33%69.51%71.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.98%72.46%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Harriet Dart (Local): 30.58%; Peyton Stearns (Visitante): 69.42%. Para Harriet Dart (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.27. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.910%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.910%E +0.276%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 07:25
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.910%E +0.276%K +0.396%G +0.004%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.98%E -5.21%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 07:24
GTbets🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -0.313%E -0.096%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -8.36%E -6.34%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 05:10
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 07:25
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.618%E -0.190%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -1.54%E -0.477%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 14:50
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 13:05
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 06:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 05:15
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -2.45%E -0.769%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 14:45
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.45%E -0.769%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:50
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 05:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 08:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 05:15
MyBookie.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 05:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.90%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -4.90%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 14:45
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 11:10
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 11:10
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 10:10
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 05:10
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 05:15
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 03:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 03:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.98%E -5.21%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 14:49
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.67%E -5.77%K -23.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 12:00
Betsson🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 05:10
NordicBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -6.28%E -4.65%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 05:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 03:40
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 03:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:50
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 11:09
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 11:15
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:45
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 11:10
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.89%E -3.57%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -3.50%E -2.52%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 05:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%0.4%2026-08-31 14:56
ProphetX◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-31 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-31 14:40
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-31 14:55
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-08-31 11:20
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%2.7%2026-08-31 14:55