Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.70
assuming max odds 1.21
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harriet Dart (Local): 18.49%; Marie Bouzkova (Visit): 81.51%. For Harriet Dart (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%EV +5.40%E +0.948%K +1.15%G +0.062% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +5.40%E +0.948%K +1.15%G +0.062% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +3.55%E +0.635%K +0.773%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.71%E +0.310%K +0.379%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.71%E +0.310%K +0.379%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.99%E -0.376%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.99%E -0.376%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.99%E -0.376%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.17%EV -2.55%E -0.483%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.83%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV -4.77%E -0.926%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.23%EV -3.01%E -2.53%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV -4.77%E -0.926%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.23%EV -3.01%E -2.53%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.43%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.43%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -6.62%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 02:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 02:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 02:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 08:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 09:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 09:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.31%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 04:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 16:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -16.05%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.38%E -1.14%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -19.56%E -4.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 16:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |