Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Harriet Dart v Marie Bouzkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 16:48 UTC

Score final : Harriet Dart 0–2 Marie Bouzkova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Harriet Dart (Local)

Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV +5.40%
Avantage +0.948%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.062%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.91%18.43%18.52%21.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.355.115.105.7022.99%19.56%19.61%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.51%1.23cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -6.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.80%81.57%81.48%83.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.161.161.2187.72%85.88%86.21%82.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Harriet Dart (Local) : 18.49% ; Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur) : 81.51%. Pour Harriet Dart (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.41. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.70, soit une espérance positive de +5.40%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%EV +5.40%E +0.948%K +1.15%G +0.062%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +5.40%E +0.948%K +1.15%G +0.062%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 08:10
Winamax (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +3.55%E +0.635%K +0.773%G +0.027%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 08:10
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.71%E +0.310%K +0.379%G +0.006%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.71%E +0.310%K +0.379%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 11:05
ReBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.99%E -0.376%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:14
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.99%E -0.376%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 09:40
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.99%E -0.376%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:00
GTbets🎯5.27I 18.98%NM 18.17%EV -2.55%E -0.483%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.83%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 09:10
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 11:05
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 13:30
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Bally Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.84%E -0.739%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV -4.77%E -0.926%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.23%EV -3.01%E -2.53%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV -4.77%E -0.926%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.23%EV -3.01%E -2.53%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 06:15
MyBookie.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 15:09
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:39
NordicBet🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.43%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:35
Betsson🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.43%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:35
DraftKings🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -6.62%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:05
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 16:44
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 16:45
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 16:45
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 02:35
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 09:30
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 02:35
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 09:35
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 15:05
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 02:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 02:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 08:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 15:00
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:35
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 09:40
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.27%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 09:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 09:35
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 12:34
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.31%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 04:15
BetAnything🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 16:29
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:29
Marathon Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 09:44
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -16.05%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.38%E -1.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 16:45
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -19.56%E -4.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -4.64%E -3.96%K -27.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%0.5%2026-09-03 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-03 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-03 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-03 16:20
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-03 16:20
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-09-03 15:00
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-09-03 16:35
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-09-03 16:20