Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro v Lois Boisson

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 22:30 UTC

Final: Emma Navarro 2–1 Lois Boisson

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prediction 72.55%1.38fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%72.22%72.63%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.55%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lois Boisson (Visit)

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV +0.182%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.069%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.78%27.37%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.6532.26%29.73%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 72.55%; Lois Boisson (Visit): 27.45%. For Lois Boisson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.182%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.182%E +0.050%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 21:35
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 21:30
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 21:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 22:09
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.13%E -5.57%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -1.47%E -0.408%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.56%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 21:39
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 22:04
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:00
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:35
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:15
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.13%E -5.57%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 22:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 20:15
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 20:25
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:05
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 20:25
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:25
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:25
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.05%E -1.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.70%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.70%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:00
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -13.54%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 17:45
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:19
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:17
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-30 22:05
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.22%1.2%2026-08-30 22:20
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-08-30 22:10