Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro v Lois Boisson

Inicio: 2026-08-30 22:30 UTC

Final: Emma Navarro 2–1 Lois Boisson

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Predicción 72.55%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%72.22%72.63%73.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.55%75.19%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lois Boisson (Visitante)

Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV +0.182%
Ventaja +0.050%
Kelly +0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.23%27.78%27.37%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.353.6532.26%29.73%29.85%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Emma Navarro (Local): 72.55%; Lois Boisson (Visitante): 27.45%. Para Lois Boisson (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.64. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.182%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.182%E +0.050%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 21:35
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV -0.093%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 21:30
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 21:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 22:09
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.13%E -5.57%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -1.47%E -0.408%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.56%E -0.722%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 21:39
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 22:04
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:00
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:35
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:15
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.13%E -5.57%K -25.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 22:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 20:15
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 20:25
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:05
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.68%E -4.37%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 20:25
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:25
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.96%E -3.78%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:25
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.05%E -1.52%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.70%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.23%E -3.20%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.70%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:00
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.78%E -2.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -13.54%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 17:45
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.33%E -0.976%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:19
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.50%E -2.64%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.91%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:17
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-30 22:05
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.22%1.2%2026-08-30 22:20
ProphetX◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-30 22:05
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-08-30 22:10