Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elsa Jacquemot v Marie Bouzkova

Início: 2026-08-31 15:09 UTC

Final: Elsa Jacquemot 0–2 Marie Bouzkova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elsa Jacquemot (Local)

Previsão 12.81%7.81odd justa
EV +8.86%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescimento +0.105%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.09%12.77%12.69%14.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.257.187.008.5016.00%13.93%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)

Previsão 87.19%1.15odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -2.90%
Kelly -29.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.03%87.23%87.31%88.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.091.101.1194.34%91.44%90.91%90.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elsa Jacquemot (Local): 12.81%; Marie Bouzkova (Visitante): 87.19%. Para Elsa Jacquemot (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.81. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +8.86%E +1.04%K +1.18%G +0.105%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 02:59
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.86%E +1.04%K +1.18%G +0.105%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 19:15
Coolbet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +5.66%E +0.686%K +0.780%G +0.044%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 14:50
FanDuel🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +5.02%E +0.612%K +0.697%G +0.035%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 19:10
1xBet🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +2.58%E +0.323%K +0.369%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 12:10
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 19:10
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 19:10
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 19:10
ReBet🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +1.17%E +0.149%K +0.170%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:05
Pinnacle🎯7.89I 12.67%NM 12.24%EV +1.05%E +0.133%K +0.152%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -0.747%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 12:14
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.747%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 12:10
Fanatics🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.39%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:50
GTbets🎯7.67I 13.04%NM 12.54%EV -1.77%E -0.231%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.46%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 00:40
MyBookie.ag🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.67%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 12:19
LeoVegas🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -2.67%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:05
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 12:45
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.70%E -6.26%K -95.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.70%E -6.26%K -95.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:10
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 14:50
Betsson🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.74%E -0.780%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 12:10
NordicBet🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.74%E -0.780%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 12:10
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -7.79%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 12:10
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 03:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 03:10
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:55
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 03:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 03:10
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:10
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 04:51
DraftKings🎯6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -10.74%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -11.38%E -1.64%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -11.38%E -1.64%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -11.63%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:55
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.55%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 12:10
BetAnything🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -14.19%E -2.12%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 14:55
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:23
LiveScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Bally Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 21:26
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.96%E -3.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:25
TAB🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.96%E -3.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Matchbook◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-08-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-08-31 14:30
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-08-31 13:00
ProphetX◎8.70I 11.49%NM 11.31%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.69%1.6%2026-08-31 13:55
Novig◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%2.6%2026-08-31 13:20
Smarkets◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%2.9%2026-08-31 14:55