Idioma:Español
Elsa Jacquemot v Marie Bouzkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elsa Jacquemot (Local)
Predicción 12.81%7.81momio equitativo
EV +8.86%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.105%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.09%12.77%12.69%14.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.257.187.008.5016.00%13.93%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)
Predicción 87.19%1.15momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -29.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.03%87.23%87.31%88.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.091.101.1194.34%91.44%90.91%90.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elsa Jacquemot (Local): 12.81%; Marie Bouzkova (Visitante): 87.19%. Para Elsa Jacquemot (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.81. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +8.86%E +1.04%K +1.18%G +0.105% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 02:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.86%E +1.04%K +1.18%G +0.105% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +5.66%E +0.686%K +0.780%G +0.044% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +5.02%E +0.612%K +0.697%G +0.035% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +2.58%E +0.323%K +0.369%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +1.17%E +0.149%K +0.170%G +0.002% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.89I 12.67%NM 12.24%EV +1.05%E +0.133%K +0.152%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -0.747%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 12:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.747%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.39%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.54%EV -1.77%E -0.231%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.46%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.67%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 12:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -2.67%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.70%E -6.26%K -95.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.70%E -6.26%K -95.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.74%E -0.780%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.74%E -0.780%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -7.79%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 03:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 03:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 03:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 04:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -10.74%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -11.38%E -1.64%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -11.38%E -1.64%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -11.63%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.55%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -14.19%E -2.12%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:23 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 21:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.96%E -3.19%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.96%E -3.19%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 12:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.31% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.69% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |