Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elsa Jacquemot v Marie Bouzkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 15:09 UTC

Score final : Elsa Jacquemot 0–2 Marie Bouzkova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elsa Jacquemot (Local)

Prévision 12.81%7.81cote équitable
EV +8.86%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.105%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.09%12.77%12.69%14.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.257.187.008.5016.00%13.93%14.29%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.19%1.15cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -2.90%
Kelly -29.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.03%87.23%87.31%88.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.101.1194.34%91.44%90.91%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elsa Jacquemot (Local) : 12.81% ; Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur) : 87.19%. Pour Elsa Jacquemot (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.81. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +8.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +8.86%E +1.04%K +1.18%G +0.105%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 02:59
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.86%E +1.04%K +1.18%G +0.105%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 19:15
Coolbet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +5.66%E +0.686%K +0.780%G +0.044%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 14:50
FanDuel🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +5.02%E +0.612%K +0.697%G +0.035%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 19:10
1xBet🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +2.58%E +0.323%K +0.369%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 12:10
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 19:10
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 19:10
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.46%E +0.307%K +0.351%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 19:10
ReBet🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +1.17%E +0.149%K +0.170%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 13:05
Pinnacle🎯7.89I 12.67%NM 12.24%EV +1.05%E +0.133%K +0.152%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.76%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -0.747%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 12:14
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.747%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 12:10
Fanatics🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.39%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:50
GTbets🎯7.67I 13.04%NM 12.54%EV -1.77%E -0.231%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.46%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 00:40
MyBookie.ag🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.67%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 12:19
LeoVegas🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -2.67%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 08:05
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 12:45
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.70%E -6.26%K -95.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.70%E -6.26%K -95.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:10
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.95%E -0.526%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.58%E -7.15%K -126.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 14:50
Betsson🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.74%E -0.780%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 12:10
NordicBet🎯7.36I 13.59%NM 12.80%EV -5.74%E -0.780%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 12:10
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -7.79%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 12:10
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 03:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 03:10
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:55
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 03:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 03:10
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:10
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.35%E -1.48%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 04:51
DraftKings🎯6.97I 14.35%NM 13.63%EV -10.74%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.37%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -11.38%E -1.64%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -11.38%E -1.64%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -11.63%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:55
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.55%E -2.01%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 12:10
BetAnything🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -14.19%E -2.12%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 14:55
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:23
LiveScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Bally Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 21:26
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.76%E -2.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 20:25
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.96%E -3.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:25
TAB🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.96%E -3.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Matchbook◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-08-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-08-31 14:30
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-08-31 13:00
ProphetX◎8.70I 11.49%NM 11.31%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.69%1.6%2026-08-31 13:55
Novig◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%2.6%2026-08-31 13:20
Smarkets◎9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%2.9%2026-08-31 14:55