Language:English
Elina Svitolina v Solana Sierra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 89.17%1.12fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -46.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.77%89.32%89.05%91.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.0896.15%93.84%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Solana Sierra (Visit)
Prediction 10.83%9.23fair odd
EV +19.17%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.367%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.79%10.68%10.95%12.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.758.778.5011.0012.90%11.40%11.76%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 89.17%; Solana Sierra (Visit): 10.83%. For Solana Sierra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.23. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +19.17%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +17.00%E +1.57%K +1.73%G +0.295% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +13.75%E +1.31%K +1.45%G +0.199% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.00%E +0.417%K +0.465%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +2.92%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.92%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV +2.59%E +0.274%K +0.306%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.69%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV +1.83%E +0.195%K +0.218%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV +0.208%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.68%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 9.21I 10.86%NM 10.32%EV -0.225%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.68%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 9.21I 10.86%NM 10.32%EV -0.225%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -1.42%E -0.156%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.25%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 8.97I 11.15%NM 10.75%EV -2.82%E -0.315%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.661%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -6.83%E -0.795%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -6.83%E -0.795%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:32 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:32 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 06:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -8.24%E -0.973%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -8.24%E -0.973%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -8.46%E -1.00%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -10.62%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -10.62%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 06:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -16.04%E -2.07%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 06:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.75% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.25% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |