Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elina Svitolina v Solana Sierra

Inizio: 2026-08-30 23:04 UTC

Finale: Elina Svitolina 2–0 Solana Sierra

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Elina Svitolina (Casa)

Previsione 89.17%1.12quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -3.43%
Kelly -46.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
87.77%89.32%89.05%91.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.041.071.071.0896.15%93.84%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Solana Sierra (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.83%9.23quota equa
EV +19.17%
Vantaggio +1.74%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescita +0.367%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.79%10.68%10.95%12.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.758.778.5011.0012.90%11.40%11.76%9.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Elina Svitolina (Casa): 89.17%; Solana Sierra (Trasferta): 10.83%. Per Solana Sierra (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.23. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +19.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +19.17%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367%3.4%2026-08-30 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +17.00%E +1.57%K +1.73%G +0.295%4.5%2026-08-30 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +13.75%E +1.31%K +1.45%G +0.199%4.8%2026-08-29 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%4.3%2026-08-29 20:15
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%5.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%6.2%2026-08-28 09:15
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.00%E +0.417%K +0.465%G +0.019%3.9%2026-08-30 21:00
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +2.92%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%3.1%2026-08-29 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.92%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-30 23:00
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV +2.59%E +0.274%K +0.306%G +0.008%4.9%2026-08-30 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.69%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV +1.83%E +0.195%K +0.218%G +0.004%3.2%2026-08-30 23:00
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV +0.208%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.68%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%9.21I 10.86%NM 10.32%EV -0.225%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.68%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%9.21I 10.86%NM 10.32%EV -0.225%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -1.42%E -0.156%K -0.175%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:54
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 20:35
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.25%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000%8.97I 11.15%NM 10.75%EV -2.82%E -0.315%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 22:10
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.661%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -6.83%E -0.795%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -6.83%E -0.795%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 06:15
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:32
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:32
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:34
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 21:40
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 06:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 06:00
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:35
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.931%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 22:59
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -8.24%E -0.973%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -8.24%E -0.973%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -8.46%E -1.00%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:05
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -10.62%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -10.62%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 06:00
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 20:10
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:10
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 22:04
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:15
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.33%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.25%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -16.04%E -2.07%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-08-30 06:15
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-08-30 23:00
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.75%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.25%1.1%2026-08-30 23:00
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62%10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38%1.2%2026-08-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%3.4%2026-08-30 23:00