Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Darja Vidmanova v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Início: 2026-09-01 21:46 UTC

Final: Darja Vidmanova 0–2 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Previsão 49.87%2.01odd justa
EV -0.764%
Vantagem -0.384%
Kelly -0.772%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.91%49.84%50.00%53.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.881.901.9956.18%53.09%52.63%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)

Previsão 50.13%1.99odd justa
EV +3.27%
Vantagem +1.59%
Kelly +3.09%
Crescimento +0.101%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.35%50.16%50.00%52.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.911.912.0655.56%52.36%52.36%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 49.87%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 50.13%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.99. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.06, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -11.24%E -6.31%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +3.27%E +1.59%K +3.09%G +0.101%4.7%2026-09-01 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.265%E +0.133%K +0.265%G +0.001%4.6%2026-09-01 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:40
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -9.74%E -5.38%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 21:43
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:20
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:43
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:10
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:06
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 21:45
ReBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 21:44
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:35
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:15
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:15
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.764%E -0.384%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -8.76%E -4.81%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-01 21:45
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-09-01 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-09-01 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 21:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-09-01 21:45