Idioma:Español
Darja Vidmanova v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Darja Vidmanova (Local)
Predicción 49.87%2.01momio equitativo
EV -0.764%
Ventaja -0.384%
Kelly -0.772%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.91%49.84%50.00%53.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.881.901.9956.18%53.09%52.63%50.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)
Predicción 50.13%1.99momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +3.09%
Crecimiento +0.101%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.35%50.16%50.00%52.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.912.0655.56%52.36%52.36%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 49.87%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 50.13%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.99. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.06, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -11.24%E -6.31%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +3.27%E +1.59%K +3.09%G +0.101% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.265%E +0.133%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -9.74%E -5.38%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 21:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 06:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 21:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.764%E -0.384%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -8.76%E -4.81%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |