Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Darja Vidmanova v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 21:46 UTC

Score final : Darja Vidmanova 0–2 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prévision 49.87%2.01cote équitable
EV -0.764%
Avantage -0.384%
Kelly -0.772%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.91%49.84%50.00%53.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.881.901.9956.18%53.09%52.63%50.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.13%1.99cote équitable
EV +3.27%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +3.09%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.35%50.16%50.00%52.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.912.0655.56%52.36%52.36%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Darja Vidmanova (Local) : 49.87% ; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur) : 50.13%. Pour Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.99. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.06, soit une espérance positive de +3.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -11.24%E -6.31%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +3.27%E +1.59%K +3.09%G +0.101%4.7%2026-09-01 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.265%E +0.133%K +0.265%G +0.001%4.6%2026-09-01 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:40
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.737%E -0.372%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.24%E -0.629%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -9.74%E -5.38%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 21:43
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:20
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:43
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:10
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:06
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 21:45
ReBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.26%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 21:44
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:35
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:15
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:15
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.764%E -0.384%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -8.76%E -4.81%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-01 21:45
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-09-01 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-09-01 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 21:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-09-01 21:45