默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aryna Sabalenka v Kamilla Rakhimova

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 15:00 UTC

最终结果: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Kamilla Rakhimova

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aryna Sabalenka (主队)

预测 91.74%1.09公平赔率
EV -1.84%
优势 -1.72%
Kelly -26.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.07

博彩公司预测分布
89.55%91.60%91.71%92.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.14%96.15%93.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kamilla Rakhimova (客队)

预测 8.26%12.11公平赔率
EV +12.96%
优势 +0.948%
Kelly +1.02%
增长率 +0.133%

假设最高赔率为 13.68

博彩公司预测分布
7.13%8.40%8.29%10.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.3211.5013.6811.11%8.83%8.70%7.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Aryna Sabalenka (主队):91.74%;Kamilla Rakhimova (客队):8.26%。 对于“Kamilla Rakhimova (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.11。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为13.68,对应+12.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.87%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%13.68I 7.31%NM 7.13%EV +12.96%E +0.948%K +1.02%G +0.133%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +11.48%E +0.850%K +0.918%G +0.105%3.6%2026-09-04 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%2.9%2026-09-04 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%3.8%2026-09-04 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%3.8%2026-09-04 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%4.8%2026-09-04 12:40
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.49%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.51%EV +5.70%E +0.445%K +0.483%G +0.027%4.0%2026-09-04 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.22%E +0.257%K +0.280%G +0.009%5.1%2026-09-04 09:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.22%E +0.257%K +0.280%G +0.009%5.1%2026-09-04 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 08:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 10:15
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:05
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:40
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.42%E -6.30%K -321.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.42%E -6.30%K -321.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 06:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.42%E -6.30%K -321.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:45
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.34%E -7.27%K -734.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.10%E -0.631%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:05
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 01:24
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:54
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 03:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:24
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.30%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 07:15
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.30%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:15
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.30%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:50
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.63%EV -1.84%E -1.72%K -26.22%G +0.000%10.35I 9.66%NM 9.37%EV -14.54%E -1.40%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 05:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.36%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.75%E -2.60%K -45.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 03:55
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:00
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -17.84%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.49%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.55%E -2.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 00:40
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.68%E -2.85%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%0.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Matchbook◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-09-04 14:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Novig◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Smarkets◎1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-09-04 14:26
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%2.3%2026-09-03 12:15