StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Kamilla Rakhimova

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-04 15:00 UTC

Endstand: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Kamilla Rakhimova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 91.74%1.09faire Quote
EV -1.84%
Vorteil -1.72%
Kelly -26.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
89.55%91.60%91.71%92.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.14%96.15%93.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.26%12.11faire Quote
EV +12.96%
Vorteil +0.948%
Kelly +1.02%
Wachstum +0.133%

bei einer Höchstquote von 13.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.13%8.40%8.29%10.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
9.0011.3211.5013.6811.11%8.83%8.70%7.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 91.74%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Auswärts): 8.26%. Für Kamilla Rakhimova (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 12.11. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 13.68 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +12.96%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.87%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%13.68I 7.31%NM 7.13%EV +12.96%E +0.948%K +1.02%G +0.133%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +11.48%E +0.850%K +0.918%G +0.105%3.6%2026-09-04 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%2.9%2026-09-04 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%3.8%2026-09-04 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%3.8%2026-09-04 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.35%E +0.565%K +0.612%G +0.045%4.8%2026-09-04 12:40
1xBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.49%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.51%EV +5.70%E +0.445%K +0.483%G +0.027%4.0%2026-09-04 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.22%E +0.257%K +0.280%G +0.009%5.1%2026-09-04 09:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.22%E +0.257%K +0.280%G +0.009%5.1%2026-09-04 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 08:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 10:15
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:05
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 05:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:40
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.42%E -6.30%K -321.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.42%E -6.30%K -321.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 06:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.42%E -6.30%K -321.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.910%E -0.076%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:45
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.34%E -7.27%K -734.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -5.04%E -0.438%K -0.480%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.10%E -0.631%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:05
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 01:24
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:54
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 03:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:24
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.17%E -0.833%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.30%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 07:15
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.30%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:15
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.30%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:50
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.63%EV -1.84%E -1.72%K -26.22%G +0.000%10.35I 9.66%NM 9.37%EV -14.54%E -1.40%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 05:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -15.36%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.75%E -2.60%K -45.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 03:55
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:00
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.51%E -5.34%K -183.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.43%E -1.74%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -17.84%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.59%E -4.41%K -114.69%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -19.49%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.55%E -2.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 00:40
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.67%E -3.50%K -73.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.68%E -2.85%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%0.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Matchbook◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-09-04 14:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Novig◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Smarkets◎1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-09-04 14:26
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%2.3%2026-09-03 12:15