Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Kamilla Rakhimova

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 90.08%1.11cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -33.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.21%89.82%90.23%91.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.051.051.0897.09%95.15%95.24%92.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.92%10.09cote équitable
EV +14.03%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 11.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.44%10.18%9.77%13.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.509.5810.0011.5015.38%10.44%10.00%8.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 90.08% ; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur) : 9.92%. Pour Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 10.09. 9 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 11.50, pour une espérance positive de +14.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +14.03%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.187%3.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +9.07%E +0.824%K +0.907%G +0.082%3.4%2026-09-03 08:00
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +9.07%E +0.824%K +0.907%G +0.082%4.3%2026-09-03 08:00
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +9.07%E +0.824%K +0.907%G +0.082%4.3%2026-09-03 08:01
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.07%E +0.824%K +0.907%G +0.082%5.2%2026-09-03 07:54
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.07%E +0.824%K +0.907%G +0.082%5.2%2026-09-03 07:56
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.07%E +0.824%K +0.907%G +0.082%5.2%2026-09-03 07:56
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +7.08%E +0.656%K +0.723%G +0.051%4.5%2026-09-03 08:00
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.99%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.01%EV +5.10%E +0.481%K +0.531%G +0.027%4.7%2026-09-03 08:05
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 03:55
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 08:00
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:35
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:35
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:35
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:35
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:40
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:40
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:39
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 07:39
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:00
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.21%E -7.00%K -240.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -0.848%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 07:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -3.82%E -0.394%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 08:02
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.81%E -0.611%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.81%E -0.611%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:05
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.81%E -0.611%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 08:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.81%E -0.611%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.81%E -0.611%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 07:39
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.65%EV -3.61%E -3.37%K -51.56%G +0.000%9.27I 10.79%NM 10.35%EV -8.09%E -0.872%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 07:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -8.28%E -0.896%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.76%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.76%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.76%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 05:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.36%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.64%EV -11.75%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -12.75%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 08:05
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -13.24%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:03
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.72%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 07:59
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.51%E -4.25%K -75.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.72%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 07:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.41%E -5.15%K -108.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.72%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.81%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -18.20%E -2.21%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 08:00
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.22%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.78%EV -29.60%E -4.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.71%E -2.51%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.59%E -4.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:27
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 86.56%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.44%EV -33.57%E -5.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 86.21%EV -6.31%E -6.07%K -157.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -35.55%E -5.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 08:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-03 05:26
Matchbook1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-03 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.5%2026-09-03 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.5%2026-09-03 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-09-03 08:05
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%3.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 90.93%10.53I 9.50%NM 9.07%4.7%2026-09-03 08:05
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%6.5%2026-09-03 08:00