Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arantxa Rus v Leolia Jeanjean

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 21:52 UTC

Final: Arantxa Rus 0–2 Leolia Jeanjean

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arantxa Rus (Local)

Prediction 37.01%2.70fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.585%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%37.01%37.04%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.522.6641.67%39.43%39.68%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visit)

Prediction 62.99%1.59fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.91%62.99%62.96%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.80%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arantxa Rus (Local): 37.01%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 62.99%. For Arantxa Rus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.66, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -1.56%E -0.585%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.93%E -0.726%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 06:44
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.93%E -0.726%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 15:40
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.93%E -0.726%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.66%E -5.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 10:38
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 11:50
ReBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 21:30
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 21:25
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 14:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:25
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 11:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 11:45
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:25
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.40%E -5.04%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 11:45
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.66%E -5.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-01 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.52%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:29
DraftKings🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.52%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 21:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 14:06
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:25
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -6.00%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 21:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:50
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:28
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:40
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 21:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 14:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 21:19
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:19
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:20
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -11.18%E -4.66%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.99%E -1.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-09-01 21:35
ProphetX2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-01 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-01 21:45
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-01 21:45
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-01 14:50
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-01 21:45
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-09-01 21:45