Idioma:Español
Arantxa Rus v Leolia Jeanjean
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arantxa Rus (Local)
Predicción 37.01%2.70momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.585%
Kelly -0.937%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.37%37.01%37.04%39.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.522.6641.67%39.43%39.68%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante)
Predicción 62.99%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.91%62.99%62.96%64.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.80%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arantxa Rus (Local): 37.01%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante): 62.99%. Para Arantxa Rus (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.70. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.66, con un valor esperado de -1.56%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -1.56%E -0.585%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.93%E -0.726%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 06:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.93%E -0.726%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.93%E -0.726%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.66%E -5.97%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 10:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 11:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.40%E -5.04%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.66%E -5.97%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -4.15%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.52%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.52%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 21:36 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 14:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.14%E -4.12%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -6.00%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.25%E -2.80%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.88%E -3.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.51%E -3.68%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.77%E -4.58%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.62%E -2.37%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -11.18%E -4.66%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.99%E -1.94%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |