Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.87
assuming max odds 2.17
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 52.41%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 47.59%. For Emma Navarro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.28%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -10.38%E -6.07%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +3.28%E +1.51%K +2.80%G +0.092% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV +2.33%E +1.08%K +2.02%G +0.047% | 3.7% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.96%E -0.950%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-07 00:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 01:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.76%E -4.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.34%E -2.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.34%E -2.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 00:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 00:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 01:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.72%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 01:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.29%E -2.66%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.19%E -3.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.29%E -2.66%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 01:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.76%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 00:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 01:07 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -8.14%E -4.22%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.62%E -4.49%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 05:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.62%E -4.49%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 05:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -8.62%E -4.49%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 05:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 05:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 05:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 01:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 01:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 01:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-09-07 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 01:20 |