Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anna Kalinskaya v Emma Navarro

2026-09-07 00:40 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Predicción 50.01%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%50.00%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.901.911.9654.64%52.55%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Predicción 49.99%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%50.00%50.00%51.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.891.881.9854.64%52.96%53.19%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 50.01%; Emma Navarro (Visitante): 49.99%. Para Emma Navarro (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.00. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.98, con un valor esperado de -1.02%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -1.98%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.48%E -1.27%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.98%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.98%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.02%E -3.78%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.98%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.02%E -3.78%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:30
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.98%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.02%E -3.78%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.02%E -0.517%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 02:20
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 02:15
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 00:30
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.98%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.02%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 02:25
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.98%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.98%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:06
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.98%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 00:40
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 00:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 02:15
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:06
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:06
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.52%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.52%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:06
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 02:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:19
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.48%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.98%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.52%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:20
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 02:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 02:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 02:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 02:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:20
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:15
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 01:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.52%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 00:30
ReBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.98%E -3.75%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 02:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:10
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.02%E -2.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 02:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-06 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-06 02:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-06 02:20
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.0%2026-09-06 02:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%3.4%2026-09-06 02:20