Language:English
Anastasia Potapova v Amanda Anisimova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Prediction 18.46%5.42fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +0.914%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%18.30%18.52%20.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.155.155.7022.22%19.43%19.42%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Amanda Anisimova (Visit)
Prediction 81.54%1.23fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -21.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.79%81.70%81.48%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.20%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 18.46%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 81.54%. For Anastasia Potapova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.42. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +5.21%E +0.914%K +1.11%G +0.058% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +2.99%E +0.537%K +0.654%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +2.99%E +0.537%K +0.654%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.64%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.36%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.86%E -6.95%K -60.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.328%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.17%E -0.410%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -2.36%E -0.446%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 08:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.87%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.60%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.60%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -6.79%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 13:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.02%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.98%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.56%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.48%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.63%EV -10.85%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.37%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -12.33%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.87% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |