Idioma:Español
Anastasia Potapova v Amanda Anisimova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Predicción 18.46%5.42momio equitativo
EV +5.21%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.79%18.30%18.52%20.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.155.155.7022.22%19.43%19.42%17.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Amanda Anisimova (Visitante)
Predicción 81.54%1.23momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -3.20%
Kelly -21.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.79%81.70%81.48%83.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.20%86.21%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 18.46%; Amanda Anisimova (Visitante): 81.54%. Para Anastasia Potapova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.42. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.21%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +5.21%E +0.914%K +1.11%G +0.058% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +2.99%E +0.537%K +0.654%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +2.99%E +0.537%K +0.654%G +0.020% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.64%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.36%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.52%E +0.276%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.86%E -6.95%K -60.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.328%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.17%E -0.410%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -2.36%E -0.446%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 08:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.10%E -0.590%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.87%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.60%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -6.60%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -6.79%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.23%E -5.41%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 13:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.02%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.98%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.56%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.48%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.60%E -3.93%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.63%EV -10.85%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.37%EV -3.78%E -3.20%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -12.33%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.41%E -4.66%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -7.04%E -6.18%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.87% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |