La scuola delle quote

Zeynep Sonmez v Jasmine Paolini

Inizio: 2026-04-15 10:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Casa)

Previsione 23.03%4.34quota equa
EV +7.53%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
Crescita +0.154%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.85%22.95%23.22%24.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.114.104.6726.67%24.36%24.39%21.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jasmine Paolini (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.97%1.30quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -3.03%
Kelly -15.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%77.05%76.78%79.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.231.231.2584.75%81.53%81.30%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +7.53%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.154%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.46%E +0.553%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 09:50
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 08:35
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:50
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.991%E -0.231%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 09:30
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.68%E -0.394%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 09:50
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.68%E -0.394%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 09:50
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 10:10
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 09:49
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 09:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:49
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 08:34
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 09:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 09:50
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 09:50
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 09:50
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 15:50
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:35
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 09:50
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 09:50
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -6.06%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 09:50
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 09:50
SportsBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 09:50
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -7.21%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 14:54
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:32
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:30
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 08:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 09:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 20:49
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 09:49
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 08:30
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 08:30
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 08:30
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.66%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.66%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 09:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
ProphetX4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 10:10
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Novig4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%3.4%2026-04-15 10:10