L’École des cotes

Zeynep Sonmez v Jasmine Paolini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prévision 23.03%4.34cote équitable
EV +7.53%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 4.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.85%22.95%23.22%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.114.104.6726.67%24.36%24.39%21.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jasmine Paolini (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.97%1.30cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -3.03%
Kelly -15.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%77.05%76.78%79.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.231.2584.75%81.53%81.30%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +7.53%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.154%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.46%E +0.553%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 09:50
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 08:35
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:50
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.991%E -0.231%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 09:30
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.68%E -0.394%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 09:50
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.68%E -0.394%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 09:50
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 10:10
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 09:49
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 09:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:49
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 08:34
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 09:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 09:50
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 09:50
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 09:50
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 15:50
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:35
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 09:50
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 09:50
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -6.06%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 09:50
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 09:50
SportsBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 09:50
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -7.21%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 14:54
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:32
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:30
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 08:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 09:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 20:49
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 09:49
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 08:30
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 08:30
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 08:30
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.66%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.66%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 09:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
ProphetX4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 10:10
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Novig4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%3.4%2026-04-15 10:10