مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zeynep Sonmez v Jasmine Paolini

البداية: 2026-04-15 10:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.03%4.34السعر العادل
EV +7.53%
الأفضلية +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
النمو +0.154%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.85%22.95%23.22%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.114.104.6726.67%24.36%24.39%21.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jasmine Paolini (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.97%1.30السعر العادل
EV -3.78%
الأفضلية -3.03%
Kelly -15.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.25%77.05%76.78%79.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.231.231.2584.75%81.53%81.30%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +7.53%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.154%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.46%E +0.553%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 09:50
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 08:35
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:50
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -0.301%E -0.069%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.991%E -0.231%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 09:30
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.68%E -0.394%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 09:50
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.68%E -0.394%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 09:50
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 10:10
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 09:49
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 09:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 09:49
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 08:34
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 09:50
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 09:50
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.17%E -7.77%K -50.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 09:50
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 09:50
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 15:50
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:35
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 09:50
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:30
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 09:50
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -6.06%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 09:50
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 09:50
SportsBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 09:50
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -7.21%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 14:54
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:32
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:30
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 08:20
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 09:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 20:40
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 09:50
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 20:49
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 09:49
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 08:30
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 08:30
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 08:30
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 06:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.66%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.66%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.63%E -6.36%K -38.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 09:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 09:50
ProphetX4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-15 10:10
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-04-15 09:50
Novig4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%3.4%2026-04-15 10:10