Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tamara Korpatsch v Diana Shnaider

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tamara Korpatsch (Local)

Prediction 19.83%5.04fair odd
EV +4.70%
Edge +0.889%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 5.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.14%19.94%19.73%21.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.674.705.2823.26%21.42%21.28%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 80.17%1.25fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -14.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.18%80.06%80.27%81.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.85%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tamara Korpatsch (Local): 19.83%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 80.17%. For Tamara Korpatsch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯5.28I 18.94%NM 18.14%EV +4.70%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.86%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 19:30
Coolbet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.13%E +0.221%K +0.275%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:30
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.856%E -0.171%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Pinnacle🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV -2.44%E -0.496%K -0.623%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.26%EV -2.99%E -2.47%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 19:25
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.84%E -0.579%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 19:25
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -3.83%E -0.790%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -2.99%E -2.47%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Betway🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:25
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Bally Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.02%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.02%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 19:30
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 19:24
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:25
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.60%E -7.55%K -61.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.80%E -6.79%K -52.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 19:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.80%E -6.79%K -52.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 19:25
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.80%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:29
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:29
ReBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.79%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.79%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.79%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 19:30
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:21
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:23
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:30
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 19:30
Fliff🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 19:30
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 19:25
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 19:30
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:30
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:30
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.14%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.74%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 19:30
ProphetX4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 19:30
Novig4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23%2.2%2026-04-14 19:30
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-04-14 19:30