L’École des cotes

Tamara Korpatsch v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tamara Korpatsch (Local)

Prévision 19.83%5.04cote équitable
EV +4.70%
Avantage +0.889%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 5.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.14%19.94%19.73%21.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.674.705.2823.26%21.42%21.28%18.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.17%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -14.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.18%80.06%80.27%81.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.85%84.75%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings5.28I 18.94%NM 18.14%EV +4.70%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.052%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.86%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 19:30
Coolbet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.13%E +0.221%K +0.275%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:30
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.856%E -0.171%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.74%EV -2.44%E -0.496%K -0.623%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.26%EV -2.99%E -2.47%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 19:25
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.84%E -0.579%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 19:25
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -3.83%E -0.790%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:30
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -2.99%E -2.47%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Betway4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:25
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:30
LowVig.ag4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.02%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 19:30
BetOnline.ag4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.02%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 19:30
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 19:24
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:25
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:25
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 19:30
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.60%E -7.55%K -61.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 19:24
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.80%E -6.79%K -52.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 19:25
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.80%E -6.79%K -52.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 19:25
SportsBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.80%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:29
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.80%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:29
ReBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.79%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 19:19
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.79%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 19:30
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.79%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 19:30
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:24
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 19:21
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 19:25
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:23
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:30
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:25
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:30
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.20%E -5.30%K -36.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 19:30
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 19:30
Fliff4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.00%E -6.04%K -43.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 19:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:25
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 19:25
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.60%E -3.86%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 19:30
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:30
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:25
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 19:30
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.14%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.40%E -4.57%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 19:24
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -14.74%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 19:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-04-14 19:30
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 19:30
ProphetX4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 19:30
Novig4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23%2.2%2026-04-14 19:30
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-04-14 19:30